In the first 5 minutes of the video/podcast, I review the 9 predictions I made in 2022.
- I was correct 5 out of 9 times if you're judging strictly.
- I was correct 7 out of 9 times if you're a lenient judge.
People are great at laughing at failed predictions and claiming that they "knew" a particular event would happen (after it happened).
After you look at my 2023 predictions, share what your predictions are!
Also, look at my predictions for the 2020s to see why none of them have come true so far.
Ten 2023 Predictions
2024 UPDATE: I got 5 out of 10 points. I gave myself half a point when my prediction was partially accurate. See the verdicts below.
1. Another country will make Bitcoin legal tender.
It will probably be a small Pacific Island nation like Tonga or Fiji. Meanwhile, Twitter will allow users to transact in cryptocurrency.
VERDICT: Partially correct. In April 2023, Russia said it planned to accept Bitcoin for some cross-border payments. Meanwhile, in December 2023, Argentina's Foreign Affairs minister said Argentina would accept Bitcoin to pay off contracts. I earned half a point.
2. The WHO and CDC will officially declare that the COVID pandemic is over. The word "COVID" on Google Trends will hit a low that we haven't seen since 2019.
The Spanish Flu pandemic lasted three years. So will COVID. As I said in 2020, once the vaccines were out, there was no point in fighting COVID anymore, just like we do little to protect ourselves from other transmissible diseases that kill five million people annually. It's endemic, and the WHO will finally admit it in 2023.
VERDICT: Correct!
3. There will be an accident in outer space.
Perhaps two satellites collide. Maybe a country fires a rocket to destroy a spy satellite. Perhaps debris hits the space station.
VERDICT: Correct! Luna 25, a Russian spaceship, crashed on the Moon.
4. Bitcoin will peak at $32,000 and close the year at $25,000.
What is 99% certain is that BTC will end the year at least 10% higher than it started.
VERDICT: Wrong, although the direction was right since BTC ended 2023 at about $42,000, which is $10,000 above my predicted price. Zero points.
5. Ethereum will drop to $700 but end at $1,800.
The US government may declare that ETH is a security, tanking the price to $700. But it will double by the end of 2023.
VERDICT: Wrong. It never dropped below $1000 and ended at $2,300, which is $500 above my prediction. Although I got the direction correct, I'll give myself zero points.
6. The US unemployment rate will double.
Expect the USA unemployment rate to soar above 5%. The bear market in stocks will continue, but midway through 2023, it will bottom out and begin its rise.
VERDICT: Wrong. It never got to 4%.
7. India overtakes China in population.
Since November 2022, there are now over 8 billion humans. In 2023, the population of India will increase while China decreases, allowing India to become the world's most populous nation. Before the end of this century, Nigeria will overtake China.
VERDICT: Correct.
8. Putin is overthrown.
Putin will mobilize more Russians. The body bags, sanctions, and stalemate will wear down the Russian public. Putin's support will erode. Who replaces him will probably be worse, although there's a 20% chance that Putin will be replaced with a peacemaker.
VERDICT: Partially correct. Yevgeny Prigozhin led a mutiny, rebellion, or coup, leading his military supporters toward Moscow before aborting the mission. I get half a point.
9. The FDA approves a psychedelic drug.
Clinical trials will prove that Psilocybin is safe and helpful for specific conditions. The FDA approves it or something like it.
VERDICT: Partially correct. The FDA issued draft guidance for psychedelic drugs in June 2023. Half a point.
10. Carter will die before October 2023.
He will be the oldest ex-president of the USA.
VERDICT: Partially correct. I controversially give myself half a point. Why? He was put in a hospice, which is a halfway death house. Also, his wife died. He died on December 29, 2024.
Previous predictions
To see my previous forecasts, check out my predictions for 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025.
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